But Tetlock’s prediction story starts decades ago ... predictability This initial project revealed critical clues that became the foundation of his future work, in particular, the identification of ...
An AI model just cracked the top 10 in a global prediction contest, signaling how machines are reshaping the future of ...
Our thinking about the future tends to fall into one of four main varieties: could, should, might, don’t. Below, Nick Foster ...
With the nonstop talk of artificial intelligence (AI) as the next major technology that will shape the future of humanity, one of the key topics being debated is whether, in balance, AI will be good ...
YoungHoon Kim, the man with the world’s highest IQ (276), predicts Bitcoin could grow 100-fold in a decade and become a global reserve asset.
The start of the new academic year has all eyes looking ahead. As we all know, prediction is very difficult, particularly about the future, as physicist Niels Bohr cheekily put it. At the same time, ...
The 1970s represented an era of unprecedented technological optimism when experts confidently predicted that Americans would work shorter hours, live dramatically better lives, and solve humanity’s ...